{"id":31612,"date":"2025-09-29T00:04:53","date_gmt":"2025-09-28T21:04:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=31612"},"modified":"2025-09-30T16:07:02","modified_gmt":"2025-09-30T13:07:02","slug":"80-ta-sesiya-generalno%d1%97-asamble%d1%97-oon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/en\/publikacii\/80-ta-sesiya-generalno%d1%97-asamble%d1%97-oon\/","title":{"rendered":"The 80 Session of the UN General Assembly"},"content":{"rendered":"

The 80th<\/sup>  Session of the UN General Assembly and D. Trump\u2019s New Approach to Restoring Peace in Ukraine<\/strong><\/h1>\n

The 80th<\/sup>  session of the UN General Assembly (GA) has shown that most countries of the world want  Russia to  end its war against Ukraine. All of them have a positive or neutral position on our country and do not accept Moscow\u2019s attempts to justify its actions;<\/em><\/p>\n

the main event for Ukraine that took place within the framework of the above-mentioned session was US President D. Trump\u2019s demonstration that he had changed his attitude to the Russian-Ukrainian war in terms of a more adequate understanding of its causes, course and goals of the parties;<\/em><\/p>\n

according to D. Trump, Russia should be forced to peace by undermining its economy by limiting its oil exports. And the measures to realize such intentions have already had consequences and confirm that the US President is still seeking to end the war.<\/em><\/p>\n

The main, global political event of 2025 was the 80th<\/sup>  session of the UN General Assembly, which was held under the slogan \u201cWorking Together: 80 Years of Working Together for Peace, Development and Human Rights and the Way Forward\u201d.<\/strong> The event was aimed at confirming that the global world is committed to multilateralism, solidarity and joint actions in the interests of all humanity on the planet.<\/p>\n

The UN GA Session included a number of meetings, conferences, summits, and bilateral and multilateral meetings at the high and other levels. The following issues were discussed: achieving sustainable development goals and enhancing global cooperation; reforming the UN; ensuring positive dynamics of the global economy; eliminating nuclear weapons; resolving armed conflicts; managing artificial intelligence; supporting youth; observing women\u2019s rights; fighting the spread of infections; and countering global climate change.<\/p>\n

At the same time, the topic of Russia\u2019s war against Ukraine and the possibility of ending it was raised.<\/strong> Besides, a meeting of the Crimean Platform, which is a coordination mechanism for returning the issue of Crimea to the agenda, was held, and the issue of protecting human rights on the Peninsula and promoting its de-occupation was discussed.<\/p>\n

Just as when such topics were discussed at the UN Security Council, most of the participants condemned the war and called for putting an  immediate end to it. Representatives of Western countries and international organizations demonstrated their clear support for Ukraine and accused Russia of continuing its aggression and not wanting peace. Some countries were mostly neutral. No one approved of Moscow\u2019s actions, which once again confirmed the failure of Russia\u2019s efforts to justify its attack on Ukraine. However, nothing particularly new was said.<\/p>\n

Against this background, US President D. Trump\u2019s speech was a truly sensational and fundamentally important event for Ukraine. He confirmed that he had changed his attitude to Russia\u2019s war against our country<\/strong>. Everything he said is well known and has been repeatedly commented on in the media. However, let\u2019s return once again to his statements during the UN General Assembly Session and other recent events, as they are the basis for further conclusions and predictions. So, D. Trump:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • recognized Russia\u2019s role as an aggressor country that attacked Ukraine, does not want to end the war and deceives the world that it is seeking peace;<\/li>\n
  • called Russia and its armed forces a \u201cpaper tiger\u201d that cannot defeat Ukraine and achieve any goals in the war against it;<\/li>\n
  • pointed out  the poor state of the Russian economy, which is actually in crisis. As an example, he cited the fact of petrol shortages in Russia;<\/li>\n
  • emphasized the decline in Russia\u2019s oil export revenues as the main tool for forcing it to peace;<\/li>\n
  • accused China and India of actually financing Russia\u2019s war by importing Russian oil. In view of this, he emphasized the need to increase tariffs on their exports;<\/li>\n
  • separately, he addressed the EU with similar demands that its members give up  buying Russian energy carriers. This was called the main condition for the USA to impose secondary sanctions against China;<\/li>\n
  • expressed hope that Ukraine would win, regain its territories, and urged it to \u201cgo further\u201d. At the same time, he recognized Ukraine\u2019s right to strike targets in Russia\u2019s territorial depths.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
    1. Trump\u2019s statements were supplemented by representatives of his administration. According to US Secretary of State M. Rubio, D. Trump is considering selling Ukraine not only defensive but also offensive weapons. In his turn, US Vice President J. Vance threatened Moscow with bad consequences if it refuses to negotiate in good faith to end the war.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      All of this differs radically  from D. Trump\u2019s previous position, which raises quite reasonable questions: what is the reason for such changes? how sustainable are they? what are they aimed at? and what can they lead to?<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Let\u2019s try to answer them.<\/p>\n

      For example, recently, political miscalculations have brought down D. Trump\u2019s rating in American society. As of mid-September this year, this rating fell to its lowest level since the beginning of his second cadence to less than 40 %. The Ukrainian factor plays a significant role here. Currently, about 70 % of Americans support Ukraine, and therefore condemn his presidential \u201cflirtation\u201d with russia and his refusal to increase pressure on it. Ultimately, this policy encourages putin to become more aggressive.<\/p>\n

      The rating of D. Trump\u2019s Republican Party (RP) is still quite high, even growing. As of early July 2025, 36  % of registered voters approved of its activities, which is by 10 % more than in February 2024. In turn, the rating of the RP\u2019s main political opponent, the Democratic Party (DP), is falling. It currently stands at 33 %, which is the lowest in 35 years.<\/p>\n

      However, this is not much lower than the rating of the Republicans. In addition, the situation can change quickly, including under pressure from the American media, which in many cases work against D. Trump. This is due to the general situation in the country and his pressure on the media, to which they react negatively.<\/p>\n

      Such prospects are of significant concern to the leadership of the Republican Party, especially on the eve of the midterm elections to the lower house of the US Congress in November 2026. According to GOP representatives, the negative consequences of D. Trump\u2019s policy could lead to the Republicans\u2019 loss in the elections. And then it will lose control of the Congress, which may begin impeachment proceedings against D. Trump. According to most estimates, it is precisely because of these circumstances that he changed his position.<\/p>\n

      In addition, a number of other factors could have influenced D. Trump\u2019s views. Most likely, he has finally realized who was the real instigator of the war, what goals Russia is pursuing and what goals Ukraine is setting for itself. And he has also realized what the situation at the front actually is. President Zelenskyy could have shown him this by showing him real maps and figures, not the ones Putin had put together. Although there could have been other channels, particularly along the military line, which are quite dense.<\/p>\n

      And the catalyst for D. Trump\u2019s open demonstration of his new positions could have been russia\u2019s large-scale provocation against Poland on the night of September 9-10, when two dozens of  Russian UAVs invaded Polish airspace. And this is despite the fact that since 2014, Poland has become the main location of US troops in Europe.<\/p>\n

      However, D. Trump\u2019s change of position cannot be considered sudden. He began to adjust it back in July of this year, when he issued the famous 50-day ultimatum to Moscow. Apparently, it was then that he realized the true nature of Putin, who was openly mocking him. The ultimatum expired in early September, but after his meeting with Putin in Alaska on August 15, D. Trump still hoped that some positive developments in the negotiations to end the war were possible. But this did not happen, and so the US President, in fact, resorted to his ultimatum, timing it to coincide with the 80th<\/sup>  session of the UN General Assembly as the most resonant political event.<\/p>\n

      In view of the above, D. Trump\u2019s actions are not some spontaneous acts or his next whims, but rather a well-considered policy. And he will not abandon it, as Russia always hopes. After all, he has never taken any pro-Russian positions, but simply tried to assure Moscow that the war should be ended politically and diplomatically. Moreover, D. Trump really hoped for a personal relationship with Putin, which should have allowed him to quickly deal with the issue of restoring peace. And when such hopes did not come true, he turned to other ways to achieve his goals.<\/p>\n

      The main of D. Trump\u2019s new actions is an attempt to force Moscow to peace as a result of the critical damage caused to the Russian economy by the decline in world oil prices<\/strong>. This is complemented by the USA\u2019s actions to oust Russia from the European energy market, which is critically important for it.<\/p>\n

      At the same time, D. Trump is assisting Ukraine in the destruction of critical Russian energy infrastructure deep in its territory. In addition, he has recently been actively promoting the idea of involving China in putting pressure on Moscow. As part of this approach, the US President has actually refused to increase sanctions pressure on Russia and impose secondary sanctions on its partners, with the exception of India. Most experts again see this as a manifestation of D. Trump\u2019s pro-Russian positions and his desire to prevent the fall of the Putin regime.<\/p>\n

      Others see this as a balanced approach, as Moscow has already learned to circumvent sanctions restrictions, and the introduction of secondary sanctions against China would harm US-China relations, which are extremely important to the United States. Therefore, instead of strengthening sanctions, the above actions against the Russian oil and gas sector are being taken, which are much more effective.<\/p>\n

      At this, the United States rejects Moscow\u2019s attempts to call for cooperation in other important areas without taking into account the problem of the war. In particular, D. Trump did not respond to Putin\u2019s proposal to resume negotiations on the limitation of strategic offensive arms.<\/p>\n

      Trump\u2019s practical measures to implement his intentions are known, but it is worth mentioning them again in a comprehensive manner.<\/strong> After all, they are still not adequately realized by Ukrainian society. Therefore, this issue deserves special attention.<\/p>\n

      For example, since the beginning of this year, American companies have been increasing oil production, which leads to a decrease in its price. However, according to experts, the main reason for this trend is the agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia and a number of other OPEC member countries to increase their hydrocarbon production. In this regard, the previously imposed restrictions on oil production, which regulated its price, have effectively ceased. And most OPEC members are compensating for their losses by increasing their energy sales.<\/p>\n

      At the same time, the United States is making efforts to return Venezuela to the international oil market, which has one of the world\u2019s largest oil reserves, but is still under US and European sanctions for violating democratic norms in the country. To resolve this issue, the United States is trying to force the Venezuelan leadership to change its position or give up power altogether by increasing political, economic, and judicial pressure. Although, according to some reports, American companies are covertly buying such oil for refining and sale.<\/p>\n

      Besides, other oil-producing countries that are not considered OPEC members and do not adhere to any norms at all are more actively entering the global market. Kazakhstan is one of them.<\/p>\n

      At the same time, as already mentioned, the United States is firmly demanding that the EU stop importing Russian oil. This demand was part of the terms of the trade agreement between the USA and the European Union signed in July this year. According to the agreement, the EU pledged to purchase American energy carriers worth $750 billion.<\/p>\n

      Finally, in September, the United States began supplying weapons to Ukraine under the PURL program. According to publicly available information, this does not include long-range systems, but in any case, it confirms that the United States approves of our country\u2019s actions to destroy Russia\u2019s energy infrastructure. And not otherwise, because they are in line with American interests in pushing Russia out of the global energy market, which gives the Americans the opportunity to take its place.<\/p>\n

      According to economists, all this causes more damage to Russia than the sanctions that D. Trump could impose, and has triggered crisis processes in the Russian economy. For example, in the first half of 2025, Russia\u2019s revenues from oil and petroleum products exports decreased by 20 %, and in July the decline reached 27 %.<\/p>\n

      In September, Russia experienced the largest decline in oil product exports since the beginning of the war. The average volume fell to 1.94 million barrels per day \u2013 by 300 thousand less than in the previous months. Exports of diesel fuel decreased by 12 %, of aviation fuel \u2013 to almost zero, and petrol  was not shipped at all. At the same time, there was a shortage of petrol on the domestic market, forcing the Russian government to extend the ban on its exports. According to American media, September of this year was a \u201cbreaking point\u201d for the Russian energy sector.<\/p>\n

      That is, what D. Trump did was effective. At the same time, his measures still do not allow him to quickly destroy Russia\u2019s economy.<\/strong> According to various forecasts, despite the actual onset of the crisis in its economy, Russia will be able to hold out for at least another year, or even longer. Although, it will have to reduce the intensity of hostilities.<\/p>\n

      In view of this, D. Trump is trying to get China on his side as the only country that can really influence Russia in a short time. This issue was discussed during a telephone conversation between D. Trump and the PRC\u2019s leader Xi Jinping on September 19, 2017. According to D. Trump, the parties managed to make progress in ending the Russian-Ukrainian war. Further talks on this topic are planned during the expected meeting between D. Trump and Xi. Jinping at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea in October and the US President\u2019s visit to China in early 2026.<\/p>\n

      Many experts doubt that D. Trump\u2019s plans can be realized. This is understandable, as China is Russia\u2019s main partner and uses it to strengthen its position in geopolitical competition with the West. By supporting Russia\u2019s war against Ukraine, China\u2019s leadership is diverting the attention and resources of the United States and the EU, which reduces the possibility of their actions on the Chinese direction. Besides, providing assistance to Russia helps China to increase its influence on it and gain greater access to its natural resources and market.<\/p>\n

      This is true. But the competition between China and the West differs  fundamentally from the confrontation between Russia and the United States and Europe. Beijing is quite interested in establishing constructive relations with them, as they are considered China\u2019s largest economic partners. And the volume of China\u2019s trade with the USA and the EU is much higher than the volume of its trade with Russia.<\/p>\n

      Therefore, after settling its main disagreements with the United States, China will not need Russia as a factor of pressure on the West. This is where things are headed. Judging by D. Trump\u2019s above-mentioned activities, he has abandoned the policy of confrontation with China, which he has pursued since his first presidential cadence, and is moving to a policy of building a strategic partnership with it, as his predecessor, B. Obama, did.<\/p>\n

      As for Beijing\u2019s ability to influence Moscow, it has all the means to do so. In fact, Russia has long since become China\u2019s satellite and is completely dependent on it economically. Officially, this dependence is estimated at about 70 %, but in reality, it is up to 100 %. According to representatives of Russian business, if China cuts off the supply of goods to Russia, the latter will last no more than two months until the warehouses run out of stocks. While China already has almost complete access to Russian natural resources and the market.<\/p>\n

      It is too early to say what the consequences of D. Trump\u2019s new approaches to resolving the problem of Russia\u2019s ending its war against Ukraine will be.<\/strong> Most likely, they will be positive for our country, as they are reasonable in nature. We will see everything in the near future. At least, D. Trump seems to intend to force Putin to end the war by the end of this year. Well, let\u2019s hope so.<\/p>\n

      And in conclusion, let us draw attention to one more fact. As a rule, all of D. Trump\u2019s positive initiatives for Ukraine are denigrated and distorted by Russian politicians and experts, as well as a certain category of their Western and Ukrainian \u201ccolleagues\u201d. The same is happening now. After all, the changes in the US President\u2019s policy are fundamental in nature. As a result, all negative and pessimistic assessments of his actions should be critically rethought.<\/p>\n

      As we can see today, US President D. Trump has completely changed both his attitude to Russia\u2019s war against Ukraine and his approach to ending it. Instead of \u201cflirting\u201d with Moscow and attempting to exert political and diplomatic influence on it, he has moved on to undermining Russia\u2019s economy by limiting its oil export revenues.<\/strong><\/p>\n

      This method can be considered more effective than imposing sanctions against Russia, which is already demonstrated by the consequences of its application. And D. Trump\u2019s steps in this direction confirm the seriousness of his intentions, which can be considered a well-thought-out strategy rather than a momentary whim.<\/strong><\/p>\n

      The USA\u2019s  actions, combined with the EU\u2019s sanctions and the supply of weapons to Ukraine, along with the approval of its strikes on oil and gas infrastructure, can really force Putin to agree to peace. In fact, he is already making concessions, although he is trying to hide this under the guise of increasing the aggressiveness of his course and intensifying provocations against Europe.<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Yurii Ilchenko,
      \n<\/strong>Institute for Global Politics<\/p>\n

      (Image generated by neural network)<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Yurii Ilchenko<\/p>\n

      The 80th \u00a0session of the UN General Assembly (GA) has shown that most countries of the world want \u00a0Russia to \u00a0end its war against Ukraine<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":31613,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[261,260],"tags":[268],"class_list":["post-31612","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitika","category-publikacii","tag-ilchenko","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nThe 80 Session of the UN General Assembly - 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