{"id":31761,"date":"2025-10-05T15:03:12","date_gmt":"2025-10-05T12:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=31761"},"modified":"2025-10-06T16:47:14","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T13:47:14","slug":"peremoga-pravix-populistiv-v-chexi%d1%97","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/en\/publikacii\/peremoga-pravix-populistiv-v-chexi%d1%97\/","title":{"rendered":"The Victory of Right-Wing Populists in the Czech Republic"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Victory of Right-Wing Populists in the Czech Republic and Its Implications for Ukraine.
\nPreliminary Assessment<\/h1>\n

The parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic on October 3-4 led to the strengthening of the positions of right-wing populists in the country. However, they cannot form a parliamentary majority on their own and are forced to unite with other parties. This situation reduces the right-wing populists\u2019 ability to change the course of the Czech Republic, including with regard to Ukraine. However, they will still be there, although they will not be critically negative for Europe and our country.<\/em><\/p>\n

An important political event in the Czech Republic that could have an impact on the country\u2019s foreign policy, including its attitude to Ukraine, was the parliamentary elections on October 3-4.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
The electoral headquarters of the ANO movement in Chodov starts celebrating victory in the 2025 parliamentary elections to the Chamber of Deputies. Andrej Babi\u0161, Karel Havlicek and Jelena \u0160illerov\u00e1 (October 4, 2025). Hereinafter source \u2014 https:\/\/www.idnes.cz\/<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The data from the election commission based on the results of processing 100 % of the votes in the parliamentary elections is provided by IDNES. <\/a>As predicted by political analysts, the largest number of votes \u2013 35.5 % (80 seats) \u2013 was received by the Eurosceptic ANO 2011 (\u201cActions of Dissatisfied Citizens\u201d) movement led by former Prime Minister A. Babi\u0161. The second place was taken by the pro-European center-right ruling coalition SPOLU of the current head of government P. Fiala, which won 23.4 % (52 seats).<\/p>\n

Apart from them, the following parties entered the Parliament: pro-European STAN (\u201cMayors and Independents\u201d; part of the current ruling coalition) \u2013 11.2 % of the vote (22 seats); pro-European \u201cPirate Party\u201d \u2013 9 % (18 seats); Tomio Okamura\u2019s far-right SPD (\u201cFreedom and Direct Democracy\u201d) \u2013 7.8 % (15 seats); the right-wing populist Eurosceptic party \u201cMotorists\u201d (part of the same faction as ANO in the European Parliament, the only political party that directly declared its readiness to block with A. Babi\u0161) \u2013 6.8 % (13 seats). The extreme left-wing populist-communist movement Sta\u010dilo! (\u201cEnough\u201d), which advocates Czech Republic\u2019s withdrawal from the European Union and was mentioned as a possible, though not obvious, partner of ANO, did not make it to the Parliament with 4.3 %.<\/p>\n

According to Czech President P. Pavel\u2019s statement, the results of the parliamentary elections show that the country\u2019s citizens have chosen a pro-Western course. He also expressed readiness to start negotiations on the formation of a new government.<\/p>\n

Based on the post-election distribution of votes in the Czech Parliament, the basis of the future ruling coalition will be the ANO 2011 movement. It does not adhere to any specific ideology, but uses the population\u2019s dissatisfaction with the growing socio-economic problems in the country, high levels of corruption and other problems to its advantage.<\/p>\n

In this regard, the movement advocates the abolition of parliamentary immunity, tax cuts for entrepreneurs, lower electricity tariffs, assistance in employment for the elderly and disabled, increased funding for science, and the cleansing of the police, prosecutors and state supervisory bodies from people associated with corruption.<\/p>\n

The movement does not take openly pro-Russian, anti-Ukrainian, or anti-European positions. However, in its activities, it exploits the ideas of the negative consequences of European sanctions against Russia for the Czech economy, the need to reduce spending on aid to Ukraine and to direct those funds to improve the living standards of its own population, as well as to pursue a more independent policy from the EU.<\/p>\n

At the beginning of Russia\u2019s full-scale war against Ukraine in February 2022, ANO supported the Czech Republic\u2019s assistance to our country. However, in June of the same year, it called for an end to it, as the goal of preventing Russia from seizing the entire territory of Ukraine had been achieved.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Results of the 2025 elections in the Czech Republic<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

During his election campaign at presidential elections in the Czech Republic in 2023, leader of the movement  A. Babi\u0161, advocated the need to end the Russian-Ukrainian war through negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. At the same time, he criticized his then opponent P. Pavel\u2019s absolute support for Ukraine. And on the eve of the parliamentary elections this year, he promised to stop supplying Ukraine with ammunition. Besides, A. Babi\u0161 is an opponent of granting Ukraine EU membership. All of these intentions were confirmed by him immediately after the elections.<\/p>\n

Demonstrating this attitude to Ukraine was part of his populist pseudo-socialist policy, which was expressed in his election campaign. At the same time, he tried to take some votes away from his main rival, the SPOLU coalition, which strongly supports Ukraine.<\/p>\n

This approach worked and was one of the key factors that allowed ANO to win the election. Russia\u2019s informational and, probably, financial support of the movement and A. Babi\u0161 personally also played an important role.<\/p>\n

Against this background, the fact that the ANO movement joined the \u201cPatriots for Europe\u201d faction in the European Parliament, along with such pro-Russian parties as Fidesz (Hungary) and FPO (Austria), is indicative. In addition, A. Babi\u0161 is opposed to increasing Czech defense spending to 5 % of GDP, as required by NATO. Plus, as an agricultural businessman, he has economic interests in Russia.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
ANO grew everywhere, more outside of big cities<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

According to most experts, these views and actions of A. Babi\u0161 and his movement pose a threat of Eurosceptic and pro-Russian changes in Czechia\u2019s policy, a decrease in its support for Ukraine, and a weakening of NATO and EU unity on Russian and Ukrainian issues.<\/strong> In other words, the Czech Republic could turn into a country like Hungary and Slovakia and become a generator of the same problems as those countries.<\/p>\n

At the same time, the ANO movement does not have enough seats in the country\u2019s Parliament to obtain a majority on its own, which requires at least 101 mandates. Given this, it will be forced to form a coalition with other parties, which will not allow it to determine the country\u2019s course alone.<\/strong><\/p>\n

A natural partner for ANO is the \u201cMotorists\u201d party. However, together they will not receive the required number of mandates. Nor will joining the SPD party resolve this problem, as they will still not have more than half of the seats. In addition, uniting with the SPD could undermine the ANO\u2019s credibility, as the majority of Czech society demonstrates a negative attitude to the far rights.<\/p>\n

Therefore, the ANO movement will in any case be forced to form a coalition with SPOLU or STAN. This will require them to make certain compromises. According to political observers, such a compromise could be continued support for Ukraine, as this does not raise any particular objections from the Czechs. They are more concerned about socioeconomic problems that are not directly related to Ukraine.<\/p>\n

However, the future Czech government will still be dominated by A. <\/strong>Babi\u0161  and the ANO movement.<\/strong> Therefore, it may indeed become more pro-Russian and Eurosceptic, and will try to reduce assistance to Ukraine. At the same time, the Czech Republic\u2019s relations with NATO and the EU may become more complicated.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
In the Sudetenland region, the former coalition was voted for in the same way as in the rest of the Czech Republic \u2013 in accordance with the development of micro-regions<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Until now, the Czech Republic has been one of Ukraine\u2019s staunchest supporters and the initiator of increasing the volume of EU-funded supplies of shells to Ukraine. Some of them were produced at its own enterprises. Therefore, if Babi\u0161 fulfills his promises to reduce aid to Ukraine, it may weaken our defense potential to some extent. But he cannot do it alone, and the Czech Republic\u2019s overall contribution to Ukraine\u2019s military capabilities is not that significant compared to the leading Western countries.<\/p>\n

Therefore, not all is so bad as it seems at first glance. There is a problem, of course, but it is greatly exaggerated by the media.<\/p>\n

Thus, the results of parliamentary electionsin the Czech Republic  confirmed the trend of strengthening the positions of populists in many European countries, who offer seemingly simple solutions to existing problems. Unfortunately, this also includes promises to reduce aid to Ukraine and redirect funds to their own needs.<\/strong><\/p>\n

In view of the above, populist parties and movements in Europe are actively supported by Russia, which is trying to undermine the unity of NATO and the EU on the Ukrainian issue and weaken Ukraine by depriving it of European support.<\/strong><\/p>\n

All of this creates negative consequences for both Europe and Ukraine, but not at a critical level. So far, the leading European countries have maintained positions favorable to us and have the ability to influence those who go beyond the general course of NATO and the EU.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Besides, in the case of the Czech Republic, right-wing populists are unable to form a majority in the country\u2019s Parliament and form the government on their own. Therefore, they are forced to unite with other political forces, which reduces their ability to change the course of the state.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Yurii Mykhailenko,
\n<\/strong>Institute for  Global Politics<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yurii Mykhailenko<\/p>\n

The parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic on October 3-4 led to the strengthening of the positions of right-wing populists in the country<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":31762,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[261,260],"tags":[272],"class_list":["post-31761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitika","category-publikacii","tag-mixajlenko","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nThe Victory of Right-Wing Populists in the Czech Republic - 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