{"id":32640,"date":"2025-12-30T00:01:25","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T21:01:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=32640"},"modified":"2025-12-31T12:47:41","modified_gmt":"2025-12-31T09:47:41","slug":"u-2025-roci-vidbuvayetsya-vse-nalezhne-dlya-vidnovlennya-miru-i-v-interesax-ukra%d1%97ni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/en\/publikacii\/u-2025-roci-vidbuvayetsya-vse-nalezhne-dlya-vidnovlennya-miru-i-v-interesax-ukra%d1%97ni\/","title":{"rendered":"The Year 2025 Saw Happening Everything Needed for Restoring Peace and in the Interests of Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Year 2025 Saw Happening Everything Needed for Restoring Peace and in the Interests of Ukraine.<\/h1>\n

The current year, 2025, the fourth year of Russia\u2019s war against Ukraine, is no less difficult than the previous ones. At the same time, it is different, demonstrating that the war may soon end. For some time, hostilities will continue with all the negative consequences for Ukraine, but soon the situation will be called a turning point.<\/p>\n

Since the beginning of the year, the Russian armed forces have not stopped  their active offensive operations on all important sections of the front and have achieved some success. At the same time, the fierce resistance of the Ukrainian Defense Forces, sanctions, and other measures by the USA and Europe have begun to wear Russia down. This refers to the sharp aggravation of the economic crisis in Russia, which is negatively affecting its ability to continue the war.<\/p>\n

Despite territorial and other losses, these consequences can be considered a victory for Ukraine, which for the first time in its history has managed to defend its independence in an open war with Russia. At the same time, Ukraine has proven its right to be a full-fledged part of Europe, which is a historical aspiration of the Ukrainian nation. At this, it has also become important to the European community as one of the main forces in deterring Moscow from attacking Europe itself.<\/p>\n

This is becoming particularly relevant for Europe in light of changes in the USA\u2019s  policy after Donald Trump became President for the second time in January 2025. Thus, in accordance with his \u201cAmerica First\u201d concept, he intensified efforts to strengthen the USA\u2019s leading role in the world, giving priority to securing exclusively American interests. D. Trump relegated the interests of other countries or their associations, including the United States\u2019  allies and partners, including Europe, to second place. The main tool for implementing these plans was his declaration of a tariff war on most countries in the world. The goal was to subordinate them to the USA under the guise of balancing trade and economic relations. This worsened their relations with the USA and destabilized the global economy, but D. Trump in general achieved what he wanted. Most countries were forced to either comply with the USA\u2019s  demands or reject them.<\/p>\n

China and Russia were exceptions. They continue to defend their positions, although they are interested in cooperating with the USA, demonstrating their willingness to compromise. They are supported by some other countries, mainly in the Third World. This increases their ability to compete. In response, the United States is more openly trying to contain China as its main global rival, while seeking to neutralize Russia as a major source of military threats and its competitor in the global energy market.<\/p>\n

In order to increase the USA\u2019s ability to counter China in the Asia-Pacific region, Donald Trump decided to redirect some American military resources from the European theater of operations to that region. As a result, Europe had to take greater responsibility for its own security through the European component of NATO and the European Union. To this end, European countries began to increase their defense spending and build up the production capacity of the European defense industry, which is supported by appropriate funding. In implementing these plans, Europeans began to realize the real threat posed by Russia, which changed their thinking from peaceful to military, so to speak.<\/p>\n

At the same time, it cannot be said that the USA has abandoned Europe to its fate. It remains the guarantor of Europe\u2019s strategic nuclear security and reaffirms its commitment to provide military assistance if necessary. It is on these principles that a new system of European and Euro-Atlantic security is now being built. The relevant decisions were taken at the NATO and EU summits in June 2025.<\/p>\n

Ukraine has been included in this system as a key component in the south-eastern part of the European theatre of operations. Ukraine currently has the most powerful Armed Forces in Europe, with the necessary experience and motivation to counter Russia militarily. This enables our country to take certain actions that help it deepen its European integration and strengthen its security and defense.<\/p>\n

Thus, in the new security architecture, Europe is Ukraine\u2019s operational and strategic rear, serving as its strong support. In particular, Poland and Romania are home to logistics hubs through which weapons are supplied to Ukraine. Western troops will also be deployed there with the task of providing assistance to Ukraine in case of Russia\u2019s  new attack after the end of the current war.<\/p>\n

At the same time, the European Union has established ways to provide financial assistance to Ukraine. These are permanent funds for the purchase of weapons and to ensure the operation of Ukraine\u2019s defense enterprises. In December 2025, the EU provided Ukraine with EUR 90 billion for the period 2026-2027 to support its defense and civil sectors. The European Union has also consistently increased its pressure on Russia by imposing new sanctions, mainly targeting the oil and gas and banking sectors, which are the most critical for Russia.<\/p>\n

The EU\u2019s unanimity on strengthening collective security, supporting Ukraine, and putting pressure on Russia was undermined by Hungary and Slovakia. Their policies are openly pro-Russian, Eurosceptic, and anti-Ukrainian. The Czech Republic has joined them to a certain extent. The attention of a number of other European countries to Ukraine has also begun to wane. The issue of the use of Russian funds frozen in Europe remains unresolved, which is a consequence of disagreements between those countries and their being blackmailed by Moscow. However, the EU is finding ways to overcome such difficulties.<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Trump\u2019s efforts to weaken Russia and find ways to influence it in order to lower global oil prices can be considered positive for Ukraine and Europe. This has caused more damage to the Russian economy than all the sanctions imposed since 2014 combined. This is the main reason for its sharp deterioration in 2025.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    With the same goal in mind, D. Trump used the Russian-Ukrainian war, which is depleting Russia\u2019s resources. Throughout the year, he essentially pushed Putin to continue the war without significant gains, which was another critically negative factor affecting the Russian economy. At the same time, Trump pursued his own political goals, i.e., in the interests of American and his own business, which made his policy towards Russia, Ukraine, and the war extremely controversial.<\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Trump took on the role of mediator in the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, which, according to his own expectations, was supposed to increase his authority in the USA and the world as a person capable of stopping the largest armed conflict in Europe since World War II. However, he actually contributed to its prolongation by constantly changing his attitude towards Russia and Ukraine, as well as by his inadequate approaches to restoring peace. In particular, he stopped financial support for Ukraine, but agreed to supply it with weapons through NATO at the expense of the EU. In doing so, he increased the USA\u2019s profits. Thus, D. Trump shifted the entire financial burden of providing aid to Ukraine onto Europe, making European countries hostages to his policy. In addition, he tried to gain access to the natural resources of Russia and Ukraine in exchange for the opportunity to single-handedly take their interests into account in the peace settlement process.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      This approach helped D. Trump achieve his goals, but it began to undermine his image in the USA. Many in America perceived his actions as support for Russia, as condoning its intentions to destroy Ukraine. American society reacted negatively to this. The same was observed in Europe. Therefore, supporters of Ukraine in the USA and Europe, including influential representatives of the Republican and Democratic parties, as well as leaders of NATO, the EU, and leading European countries, united to exert appropriate influence on D. Trump to change his policy. At the same time, his opponents took advantage of the situation to reduce his electoral influence ahead of the 2026 US midterm elections.<\/p>\n

      All this forced Donald Trump to take more decisive and adequate steps to accelerate the process of ending the Russian-Ukrainian war, although they include some rather controversial points. Nevertheless, the negotiations have moved from the abstract to the concrete.<\/p>\n

      Of course, Moscow has not given up its strategic plans to destroy Ukraine as an independent state. However, it will be forced to suspend their implementation by military means due to the crisis in its economy and agree to certain compromises. Unfortunately, Ukraine will temporarily lose part of its territories occupied by Russia and will also face other negative consequences of some other provisions of the so-called peace plan, which it cannot change.<\/p>\n

      But these will be offset by the positive aspects of the peace initiatives supported by the USA and Europe, which provide for the preservation of Ukraine\u2019s independence, sovereignty, and military potential, the acceleration of its European integration process, the provision of security guarantees, and assistance in the post-war reconstruction and development of the country.<\/p>\n

      At this,  Ukraine will have the opportunity to restore its territorial integrity in a peaceful manner. Current events in Russia are reminiscent of what happened in the former Soviet Union on the eve of its collapse. Due to its critical weakening, the USSR was forced to agree to the reunification of Germany in 1990. Let us hope that the same will happen to Russia as early as 2026.<\/p>\n

      A more detailed assessment of the military-political situation in the world in the context of Ukraine\u2019s interests will be provided in January 2026.<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Yurii Mykhailenko,
      \n<\/strong>Institute for Global Politics<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Yurii Mykhailenko<\/p>\n

      The current year, 2025, the fourth year of Russia\u2019s war against Ukraine, is no less difficult than the previous ones. At the same time, it is different, demonstrating that the war may soon end<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":32643,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[261,260],"tags":[272],"class_list":["post-32640","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitika","category-publikacii","tag-mixajlenko","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nThe Year 2025 Saw Happening Everything Needed for Restoring Peace and in the Interests of Ukraine - 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