{"id":30281,"date":"2025-06-28T00:05:25","date_gmt":"2025-06-27T21:05:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=30281"},"modified":"2025-06-29T09:50:58","modified_gmt":"2025-06-29T06:50:58","slug":"shhob-ti-zhiv-v-chasi-velikix-peremin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/fr\/publikacii\/shhob-ti-zhiv-v-chasi-velikix-peremin\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00ab\u00a0Que vous viviez en une \u00e9poque de grands changements\u00a0\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00ab Que vous viviez en une \u00e9poque de grands changements \u00bb \u2013 du point de vue chinois, ces mots sonnent comme une mal\u00e9diction.<\/h1>\n

Pour la mentalit\u00e9 europ\u00e9enne, cette d\u00e9claration peut \u00eatre per\u00e7ue diff\u00e9remment, notamment comme la disparition de l’ancien et la naissance de quelque chose de nouveau, encore meilleur, qui entra\u00eenera l’\u00e9mergence de nouvelles opportunit\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

Il est d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9vident que nous vivons en une \u00e9poque de grands changements. L’ancien syst\u00e8me de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et de droit internationaux a \u00e9t\u00e9 compl\u00e8tement d\u00e9truit.<\/p>\n

Aujourd’hui, il est \u00e9vident que l’ancien monde est en train de dispara\u00eetre, mais, comme on dit, \u00ab un lieu saint n’est jamais vide \u00bb. Il faut donc s’attendre \u00e0 la naissance d’un nouvel ordre mondial et de nouveaux syst\u00e8mes de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et de droit internationaux sur ses ruines.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Il est difficile de pr\u00e9dire \u00e0 quoi ressemblera ce nouveau monde, mais compte tenu de la politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re de l’actuel pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain Donald Trump, nous pouvons d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 affirmer avec certitude qu’il ne sera certainement pas am\u00e9ricain. La politique du gouvernement am\u00e9ricain envers ses alli\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens et sa r\u00e9action plut\u00f4t lente \u00e0 l’agression arm\u00e9e de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie contre l’Ukraine soul\u00e8vent \u00e9galement de nombreuses questions.<\/p>\n

Jusqu’\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, les \u00c9tats-Unis n’ont adopt\u00e9 une position coh\u00e9rente qu’\u00e0 l’\u00e9gard d’Isra\u00ebl. Sur le continent europ\u00e9en, l’alli\u00e9 le plus fiable de l’Ukraine dans sa guerre contre la Russie est aujourd’hui la Grande-Bretagne.<\/p>\n

L’Allemagne et la France ont \u00e9galement r\u00e9cemment commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 aider plus activement l’Ukraine, conscientes des cons\u00e9quences de l’expansion de la Russie sur le continent europ\u00e9en.<\/p>\n

Quant \u00e0 la Russie, son objectif est clair. Poutine et son \u00e9quipe s’efforcent de restaurer la puissance de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie et y parviennent en \u00e9tendant leur sph\u00e8re d’influence \u00e0 des pays qui faisaient autrefois partie de l’URSS. La Russie a d\u00e9j\u00e0 annex\u00e9 la Bi\u00e9lorussie, consid\u00e9rablement renforc\u00e9 sa position en G\u00e9orgie et, pour r\u00e9aliser ses ambitions imp\u00e9riales, elle avait aussi d\u00e9sesp\u00e9r\u00e9ment besoin de l’Ukraine.<\/p>\n

Les projets futurs du Kremlin incluent l’extension de son influence \u00e0 d’autres pays europ\u00e9ens, ce que le pr\u00e9sident russe Vladimir Poutine a d\u00e9j\u00e0 ouvertement d\u00e9clar\u00e9.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>O\u00f9 allons-nous et \u00e0 quoi ressemblera notre monde demain ? Allons-nous revenir \u00e0 une nouvelle division en empires disposant de leurs propres sph\u00e8res d’influence, ou la mondialisation m\u00e8nera-t-elle \u00e0 la destruction d\u00e9finitive des \u00c9tats-nations et \u00e0 la cr\u00e9ation d’un nouveau gouvernement mondial universel ? Peut-\u00eatre qu’avec le temps, une autre alternative \u00e9mergera celle de la cr\u00e9ation d’un nouveau syst\u00e8me de relations et de droit internationaux, fond\u00e9 sur une r\u00e9glementation plus claire et plus \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e des relations entre les \u00c9tats nationaux.<\/p>\n

En attendant, nous vivons une p\u00e9riode de grands changements, et la grande majorit\u00e9 esp\u00e8re leur ach\u00e8vement rapide, le retour \u00e0 la stabilit\u00e9 sociopolitique et le r\u00e9tablissement d’une paix et d’un ordre public durables.<\/p>\n

Oleg Berezyuk,
\n<\/strong>Institut de Politique Globale<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oleg Berezyuk<\/p>\n

O\u00f9 allons-nous et \u00e0 quoi ressemblera notre monde demain\u00a0?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":30288,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[263,260],"tags":[273],"class_list":["post-30281","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podi-faktit-komentari","category-publikacii","tag-berezyuk","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"fr","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\n\u00ab\u00a0Que vous viviez en une \u00e9poque de grands changements\u00a0\u00bb - 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