{"id":30700,"date":"2025-07-27T19:42:08","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T16:42:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=30700"},"modified":"2025-07-28T19:26:55","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T16:26:55","slug":"majbutnya-arxitektura-postputinsko%d1%97-rosi%d1%97","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/fr\/publikacii\/majbutnya-arxitektura-postputinsko%d1%97-rosi%d1%97\/","title":{"rendered":"L’architecture future de la Russie post-Poutine"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Aujourd’hui, nous pouvons affirmer sans \u00e9quivoque que l’Ukraine a surv\u00e9cu \u00e0 la guerre russo-ukrainienne<\/h1>\n
Elle y est sans aucun doute parvenue gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 l’aide de l’Occident, qui, pour des raisons \u00e0 la fois id\u00e9ologiques et pragmatiques, ne pouvait laisser l’Ukraine seule face \u00e0 l’agresseur.<\/div>\n
Ce n’est plus un secret pour personne que l’invasion des forces arm\u00e9es russes en Ukraine visait \u00e0 liquider sa souverainet\u00e9, entra\u00eenant la renaissance de l’empire russe et l’instauration de r\u00e9gimes dictatoriaux et autoritaires sur le continent europ\u00e9en.<\/div>\n
Au cours des trois ans et demi de guerre, il est devenu \u00e9vident que les plans de la Russie en Ukraine ont \u00e9chou\u00e9 et que les id\u00e9es de libert\u00e9 et de d\u00e9mocratie ont pr\u00e9valu sur l’id\u00e9ologie imp\u00e9rialiste et autoritaire de Poutine.<\/div>\n
Et maintenant ? Quel r\u00f4le l’Ukraine devrait-elle jouer dans la r\u00e9gion des Mers Baltique, Noire et Caspienne apr\u00e8s la fin de la guerre ? Quelle devrait \u00eatre son attitude envers la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie et quelle aide peut-elle apporter aux forces d\u00e9mocratiques russes et aux peuples asservis de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie pour les lib\u00e9rer de la d\u00e9pendance coloniale russe ?<\/div>\n
Pour devenir un exemple, les Ukrainiens doivent avant tout r\u00e9tablir l’ordre dans leur propre \u00c9tat. La stabilit\u00e9 politique interne de l’Ukraine et son syst\u00e8me judiciaire \u00e9quitable devraient devenir un exemple \u00e0 suivre et inspirer d’autres peuples et nations \u00e0 croire aux perspectives d’ind\u00e9pendance et \u00e0 la construction de leur propre \u00c9tat. \u00c0 cet \u00e9gard, l’Ukraine peut, par ailleurs, se voir oblig\u00e9e de leur fournir toute l’aide n\u00e9cessaire, car cela devrait \u00e0 l’avenir confirmer ses ambitions de leadership et garantir la stabilit\u00e9 militaire et sociopolitique de la r\u00e9gion.<\/div>\n
On peut d’ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 affirmer que la d\u00e9faite de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie dans la guerre russo-ukrainienne enterrera \u00e0 jamais l’id\u00e9e d’une renaissance de l’empire russe, ce qui conduira in\u00e9vitablement \u00e0 l’effondrement de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie.<\/div>\n
\u00c0 quoi ressemble l’architecture future de la Russie post-Poutine ? Tout d’abord, il convient de pr\u00eater attention au Caucase dont les peuples r\u00eavent depuis longtemps de se lib\u00e9rer de la d\u00e9pendance coloniale russe. La Tch\u00e9tch\u00e9nie, l’Ingouchie et le Daghestan seront probablement les premiers \u00e0 quitter la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie.<\/div>\n
Par ailleurs, il faut s’attendre \u00e0 une mont\u00e9e de la conscience nationale au Tatarstan qui dispose d’un potentiel \u00e9conomique important et d’une r\u00e9elle opportunit\u00e9 de s’engager sur la voie de l’ind\u00e9pendance et de construire son propre \u00c9tat souverain.<\/div>\n
L’affaiblissement de Moscou \u00e9puis\u00e9e par la guerre en Ukraine pourrait inciter les peuples de Sib\u00e9rie et d’Extr\u00eame-Orient, victimes de l’exploitation impitoyable de Moscou et longtemps tourn\u00e9s vers le Japon et la Chine dans leurs relations \u00e9conomiques, \u00e0 se s\u00e9parer de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie.<\/div>\n
Dans le contexte des bouleversements tectoniques mondiaux dans l’espace post-sovi\u00e9tique, il appara\u00eet \u00e9vident que la victoire de l’Ukraine dans la guerre russo-ukrainienne ne doit pas se limiter \u00e0 un retour aux fronti\u00e8res de 1991. De plus, dans un contexte d’affaiblissement global de l’influence am\u00e9ricaine, nous devons d\u00e8s maintenant rechercher des alli\u00e9s plus stables et plus fiables pour mettre en \u0153uvre nos id\u00e9es de leadership et nos plans \u00e0 long terme.<\/div>\n
Au niveau r\u00e9gional, nous devons avant tout construire de nouvelles relations mutuellement b\u00e9n\u00e9fiques avec les pays baltes, la Pologne et la Turquie, car ce sont nos voisins les plus proches et les \u00c9tats les plus influents de la r\u00e9gion, partageant de nombreux int\u00e9r\u00eats avec l’Ukraine. Ensuite, il convient d’\u00e9laborer une nouvelle strat\u00e9gie pour les relations avec les \u00c9tats les plus influents de l’UE, notamment la Grande-Bretagne, l’Allemagne et la France.<\/div>\n
Le r\u00f4le de l’Ukraine doit s’accro\u00eetre \u00e0 l’\u00e9chelle mondiale. Il est donc essentiel de se pr\u00e9parer \u00e0 une r\u00e9vision de son r\u00f4le et de son importance dans l’architecture future des relations internationales et d’\u00e9laborer une nouvelle doctrine pour les relations avec les \u00c9tats-Unis, la Chine et d’autres pays influents d’Asie, d’Afrique et d’Am\u00e9rique latine, en tenant compte \u00e0 la fois de l’importance nationale de l’Ukraine dans le nouveau syst\u00e8me de relations internationales et celui de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 mondiale.<\/div>\n
Oleg Berezyuk,<\/strong><\/div>\n
Institut de Politique Globale<\/div>\n
(Image g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9e par un r\u00e9seau neuronal)<\/em><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oleg Berezyuk<\/p>\n

La d\u00e9faite de la Russie dans la guerre russo-ukrainienne enterrera \u00e0 jamais l’id\u00e9e de faire revivre l’empire russe<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":30701,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[263,260],"tags":[273],"class_list":["post-30700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podi-faktit-komentari","category-publikacii","tag-berezyuk","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"fr","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nL'architecture future de la Russie post-Poutine - 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