{"id":30887,"date":"2025-08-09T00:01:39","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T21:01:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=30887"},"modified":"2025-08-09T19:26:34","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T16:26:34","slug":"rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/fr\/publikacii\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00ab La Russie se pr\u00e9pare de plus en plus \u00e0 une confrontation non seulement avec l’Ukraine, ce qui est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident, mais aussi avec l’OTAN dans son ensemble \u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bas\u00e9 sur une pr\u00e9sentation \u00e0 la table ronde du Global Policy Institute “L’autoritarisme russe en tant que menace pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 mondiale.” <\/em><\/p>\n

\u00ab La Russie se pr\u00e9pare de plus en plus \u00e0 une confrontation non seulement avec l’Ukraine, ce qui est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident, mais aussi avec l’OTAN dans son ensemble \u00bb<\/strong><\/h1>\n

Le titre de notre r\u00e9union est \u00ab L’autoritarisme russe, menace pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 mondiale \u00bb. Ce titre est tout \u00e0 fait pertinent, notamment parce qu’il fait \u00e9cho \u00e0 mon r\u00e9cent livre intitul\u00e9 \u00ab La nouvelle guerre totale \u00bb.<\/p>\n

Comme nous le savons, l’Ukraine est une fin en soi \u00e9vidente pour le r\u00e9gime de Poutine. Mais elle illustre aussi clairement les outils utilis\u00e9s par l’arm\u00e9e de Poutine et, de fait, par l’\u00c9tat russe contre l’Ukraine. Il s’agit d’un exemple clair d’une forme hautement int\u00e9gr\u00e9e de guerre totale, utilisant des moyens militaires et non militaires. Il est important que nous le comprenions, et je vais vous expliquer pourquoi.<\/p>\n

Je pense que la Russie se pr\u00e9pare de plus en plus \u00e0 une confrontation non seulement avec l’Ukraine, ce qui est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident, mais aussi avec l’OTAN dans son ensemble. M\u00eame en Europe, nous avons assist\u00e9 non seulement \u00e0 des meurtres, mais aussi, depuis 2015, \u00e0 une augmentation des actes de sabotage. Et maintenant, en mer Baltique, nous observons \u00e9galement des menaces navales et a\u00e9riennes contre les forces navales qui tentent d’emp\u00eacher l’utilisation ou l’exportation de p\u00e9trole russe ill\u00e9gal depuis la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie. Nous savons \u00e9galement que Poutine se consid\u00e8re comme un combattant pour la formation d’un nouvel ordre mondial dans lequel l’Occident est loin d’\u00eatre au premier plan.<\/p>\n

La guerre int\u00e9gr\u00e9e poursuit de nombreux objectifs dont le contr\u00f4le du peuple russe. Et je conviens que le peuple russe ne doit pas rester impuni, car il porte une part de responsabilit\u00e9 dans ce qui se passe actuellement. Mais il est clair que la nouvelle forme de guerre totale du r\u00e9gime vise principalement \u00e0 contr\u00f4ler et \u00e0 fa\u00e7onner la conscience russe, et \u00e0 contraindre la population russe \u00e0 abandonner les normes humaines fondamentales. Quant \u00e0 l’Ukraine, elle sera libre lorsqu’elle pourra se d\u00e9fendre non seulement contre la puissance et la force militaires russes, mais aussi contre les instruments non militaires de la guerre int\u00e9gr\u00e9e. Et pour moi, cela signifie deux choses que certains Ukrainiens veulent entendre et d’autres non.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Premi\u00e8rement, la guerre russe n’est pas seulement militaire. La partie ukrainienne doit comprendre que la Russie, ou le r\u00e9gime Poutine, peut attaquer en prenant des mesures politiques et \u00e9conomiques. Et c’est le cas. Car plus la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9conomique et politique ukrainienne est propre et transparente, \u00e0 commecer par des juges aux inspecteurs des imp\u00f4ts, plus il est difficile pour le FSB, le GRU, le crime organis\u00e9 ou les partenaires oligarchiques d’identifier les moyens par lesquels ils peuvent influencer et corrompre la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 ukrainienne.<\/p>\n

Deuxi\u00e8mement, les Russes ne parlent g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement pas ukrainien, tandis que les Ukrainiens parlent g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement russe et le comprennent certainement. Au lieu de consid\u00e9rer le russe comme une langue hostile, les Ukrainiens devraient le consid\u00e9rer comme leur arme secr\u00e8te contre le r\u00e9gime, pour tenter de faire passer des messages et des informations au peuple russe. Je pense que cette forme de guerre narrative est importante, mais elle est sous-estim\u00e9e en Ukraine. L’Occident devrait y pr\u00eater davantage attention.<\/p>\n

Au cours des prochaines d\u00e9cennies, l’Ukraine sera libre lorsque la Russie abandonnera l’autoritarisme et adoptera effectivement l’\u00c9tat de droit dans le domaine des droits de l’homme et du fonctionnement de l’\u00c9tat. Pour y parvenir, nous devons tous diffuser nos messages et nos informations, m\u00eame si tr\u00e8s peu de personnes en Russie nous \u00e9coutent. Certains nous \u00e9coutent encore, et nous devons continuer \u00e0 le faire. L’Ukraine doit absolument s’impliquer pour faire passer ces messages au peuple russe, \u00e0 ceux qui sont pr\u00eats \u00e0 les accepter, m\u00eame avec indignation, car \u00e0 l’avenir, si seule la force militaire peut stopper l’invasion de l’Ukraine par Poutine, la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de l’Ukraine d\u00e9pendra de sa capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 faire passer le message \u00e0 la population russe et \u00e0 tenter de lui expliquer pourquoi les actes de Poutine, la r\u00e9surgence d’une forme d’autoritarisme n\u00e9ofasciste, sont r\u00e9pr\u00e9hensibles et n\u00e9fastes. Et aussi pourquoi ils sont tout \u00e0 fait contraires aux int\u00e9r\u00eats \u00e0 long terme de l’\u00c9tat russe.<\/p>\n

Robert Seely,
\n<\/strong>homme politique britannique,ancien
\nD\u00e9put\u00e9 du Parlement Britannique<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Robert Seely<\/p>\n

Bas\u00e9 sur une pr\u00e9sentation \u00e0 la table ronde du Global Policy Institute “”L’autoritarisme russe en tant que menace pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 mondiale.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":30888,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[260,264],"tags":[288,297],"class_list":["post-30887","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publikacii","category-treningi-seminary","tag-kruglij-stil","tag-sili","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"fr","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\n\u00ab La Russie se pr\u00e9pare de plus en plus \u00e0 une confrontation non seulement avec l'Ukraine, ce qui est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident, mais aussi avec l'OTAN dans son ensemble \u00bb - Global Policy Institute<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/publikacii\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra\u0457noyut-ale-j-z-nato\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00ab La Russie se pr\u00e9pare de plus en plus \u00e0 une confrontation non seulement avec l'Ukraine, ce qui est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident, mais aussi avec l'OTAN dans son ensemble \u00bb - Global Policy Institute\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/publikacii\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra\u0457noyut-ale-j-z-nato\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Global Policy Institute\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-08T21:01:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-08-09T16:26:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/\u0421\u0438\u043b\u0438.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"300\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"233\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Vladimir\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Vladimir\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/publikacii\\\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/publikacii\\\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Vladimir\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/183f5573a75f3cc0f668a1034203cc5b\"},\"headline\":\"\u00ab La Russie se pr\u00e9pare de plus en plus \u00e0 une confrontation non seulement avec l’Ukraine, ce qui est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident, mais aussi avec l’OTAN dans son ensemble \u00bb\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-08T21:01:39+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-09T16:26:34+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/publikacii\\\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2752,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/publikacii\\\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/\u0421\u0438\u043b\u0438.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"\u041a\u0440\u0443\u0433\u043b\u0438\u0439 \u0441\u0442\u0456\u043b\",\"\u0421\u0438\u043b\u0438\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Publications\",\"Formations et s\u00e9minaires\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/publikacii\\\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/igp.org.ua\\\/publikacii\\\/rosiya-vse-bilshe-nalashtovuyetsya-na-konfrontaciyu-ne-tilki-z-ukra%d1%97noyut-ale-j-z-nato\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00ab La Russie se pr\u00e9pare de plus en plus \u00e0 une confrontation non seulement avec l'Ukraine, ce qui est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident, mais aussi avec l'OTAN dans son ensemble \u00bb - 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