{"id":31116,"date":"2025-08-18T05:36:55","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T02:36:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=31116"},"modified":"2025-08-18T10:35:16","modified_gmt":"2025-08-18T07:35:16","slug":"yak-mi-j-ochikuvali-zustrich-trampa-i-putina-na-alyasci-zakinchilas-nichim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/fr\/publikacii\/yak-mi-j-ochikuvali-zustrich-trampa-i-putina-na-alyasci-zakinchilas-nichim\/","title":{"rendered":"Comme pr\u00e9vu, la rencontre entre Trump et Poutine en Alaska n’a abouti \u00e0 rien"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Comme pr\u00e9vu, la rencontre entre Trump et Poutine en Alaska n’a abouti \u00e0 rien<\/h1>\n
Bien s\u00fbr, cette conclusion a \u00e9t\u00e9 tir\u00e9e sans tenir compte de la perte d’image de l’actuel Pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain Donald Trump.<\/div>\n
Et comment ces n\u00e9gociations auraient-elles pu aboutir autrement s’il \u00e9tait clair, d\u00e8s le d\u00e9part, que les int\u00e9r\u00eats des deux parties divergeaient ? De toute \u00e9vidence, Poutine a formul\u00e9 des exigences irr\u00e9alistes \u00e0 l’avance, affirmant la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d’un retrait complet des troupes ukrainiennes des territoires du sud et de l’est de l’Ukraine inscrits dans la Constitution de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie.<\/div>\n
Je me demande comment les Am\u00e9ricains, et en particulier Trump et Vitkoff, percevraient la d\u00e9cision de la Douma d’\u00c9tat de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie d’inclure l’Alaska dans la Constitution russe ? \u00c9videmment, leur r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 cette question serait sans ambigu\u00eft\u00e9. Mais alors pourquoi l’administration Trump prend-elle autant au s\u00e9rieux les caprices de Poutine et fait-elle pression sur le pr\u00e9sident ukrainien pour le contraindre \u00e0 accepter une renonciation volontaire \u00e0 une partie des territoires ukrainiens ? Il semble que les hauts responsables am\u00e9ricains se r\u00e9f\u00e8rent au Moyen \u00c2ge, lorsque les terres domaniales appartenaient aux monarques et \u00e9taient redistribu\u00e9es \u00e0 la suite de conqu\u00eates militaires ou de la conclusion d’accords commerciaux. \u00c0 cette \u00e9poque, cette logique \u00e9tait tout \u00e0 fait acceptable et compr\u00e9hensible, car le souverain \u00e9tait alors le seul propri\u00e9taire du territoire concern\u00e9 et pouvait en disposer \u00e0 sa guise. Mais au XXIe si\u00e8cle, dans les pays d\u00e9mocratiques, un r\u00e9gime juridique totalement diff\u00e9rent s’applique aux terres domaniales. Le pr\u00e9sident ukrainien n’en est pas propri\u00e9taire et ne peut donc en disposer seul. Il ne dispose d’un tel droit ni au niveau de la l\u00e9gislation nationale ni au niveau du droit international. Il semble que l’actuel pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain Donald Trump ne le comprenne pas, et c’est pourquoi il tente de faire pression sur le pr\u00e9sident ukrainien Volodymyr Zelensky et d’exiger de lui ce qu’il ne peut pas faire, en principe. \u00c9tonnamment, pour une raison inconnue, l’actuel pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain se comporte non pas comme un chef d’\u00c9tat, mais comme un simple homme d’affaires, et personne n’ose lui expliquer l’absurdit\u00e9 et la futilit\u00e9 de ses revendications contre le pr\u00e9sident ukrainien. N’y a-t-il vraiment pas assez de juristes aux \u00c9tats-Unis pour expliquer \u00e0 Donald Trump que la d\u00e9cision de la Douma d’\u00c9tat russe d’inclure les territoires ukrainiens dans la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie \u00e9tait nulle et non avenue et ill\u00e9gale d\u00e8s le d\u00e9part ; ce qui, soit dit en passant, serait \u00e9galement le cas de l’hypoth\u00e8se de la Douma d’\u00c9tat russe d’inclure l’Alaska dans la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie ? De plus, Donald Trump ne semble pas comprendre qu’il ne s’agit pas de territoires, mais de droit international, de la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d’en restaurer les principes et fondements fondamentaux. Si l’on suppose que les \u00c9tats-Unis et l’ensemble de la communaut\u00e9 internationale reconnaissent le droit de la Russie sur les territoires ukrainiens qu’elle a occup\u00e9s, cela signifie que tous les conflits territoriaux pourront d\u00e9sormais \u00eatre r\u00e9solus par la force. On peut facilement imaginer qu’une guerre de tous contre tous s’engagera alors, o\u00f9 seules la loi de la force et la loi de la jungle r\u00e9gneront.<\/div>\n
Un tel calendrier ne conviendra probablement pas \u00e0 l’\u00e9crasante majorit\u00e9 des dirigeants des principaux \u00c9tats du monde, en particulier de l’UE, et il faut donc s’attendre prochainement \u00e0 une r\u00e9action plus ferme de l’Allemagne, de la Grande-Bretagne, de l’Italie et de la France \u00e0 l’agression russe. Compte tenu de la rencontre entre les Am\u00e9ricains et Poutine en Alaska, o\u00f9 l’opinion publique \u00e9tait clairement du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de l’Ukraine, il faut s’attendre \u00e0 un affaiblissement de la position de Donald Trump aux \u00c9tats-Unis \u00e9galement. C’est pourquoi les accords de coulisses actuels entre Trump et Poutine, s’ils ont eu lieu, sont sans avenir, surtout apr\u00e8s les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives que le Parti r\u00e9publicain am\u00e9ricain, dirig\u00e9 par Trump, risque fort de perdre.<\/div>\n
Trump et Poutine se croient peut-\u00eatre omnipotents et puissants aujourd’hui, mais m\u00eame eux ne parviendront pas \u00e0 inverser le processus naturel du d\u00e9veloppement sociopolitique et \u00e0 ramener l’histoire \u00e0 l’\u00e9poque o\u00f9 toutes les d\u00e9cisions politiques reposaient sur les int\u00e9r\u00eats priv\u00e9s de monarques influents. Aujourd’hui, la situation a chang\u00e9 et d’autres r\u00e8gles du jeu ont \u00e9merg\u00e9 dans la sph\u00e8re de la politique internationale, o\u00f9 les dirigeants politiques ne peuvent ignorer impun\u00e9ment l’opinion publique. En fin de compte, la Russie autoritaire perdra d\u00e9finitivement cette guerre, et aucun accord secret entre Trump et Poutine ne la sauvera. Le r\u00f4le d\u00e9cisif sera jou\u00e9 par les v\u00e9ritables exigences socio-\u00e9conomiques du moment et par les sentiments politiques et moraux de l’\u00e9crasante majorit\u00e9 des citoyens des \u00c9tats-Unis et de tous les pays d\u00e9mocratiques du monde.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Oleg Berezyuk,<\/strong><\/div>\n
Institut de Politique Globale<\/div>\n
(Image est g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9e par un r\u00e9seau neuronal)<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oleg Berezyuk,<\/p>\n

Et comment ces n\u00e9gociations auraient-elles pu aboutir autrement s’il \u00e9tait clair, d\u00e8s le d\u00e9part, que les int\u00e9r\u00eats des deux parties divergeaient<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":31117,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[263,260],"tags":[273],"class_list":["post-31116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podi-faktit-komentari","category-publikacii","tag-berezyuk","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"fr","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nComme pr\u00e9vu, la rencontre entre Trump et Poutine en Alaska n'a abouti \u00e0 rien - 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