{"id":31332,"date":"2025-08-30T13:15:36","date_gmt":"2025-08-30T10:15:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=31332"},"modified":"2026-05-02T12:38:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T09:38:28","slug":"na-28-veresnya-cogo-roku-v-moldovi-priznacheni-parlamentski-vibori","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/fr\/publikacii\/analitika\/na-28-veresnya-cogo-roku-v-moldovi-priznacheni-parlamentski-vibori\/","title":{"rendered":"Les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives sont pr\u00e9vues le 28 septembre en Moldavie"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives sont pr\u00e9vues le 28 septembre en Moldavie<\/h1>\n
Il s’agit d’un \u00e9v\u00e9nement crucial pour les Moldaves, car ses r\u00e9sultats auront un impact significatif sur leur vie et sur l’avenir politique du pays.<\/div>\n
On sait d\u00e9j\u00e0 aujourd’hui que la Russie tente de regagner l’influence qu’elle exer\u00e7ait dans la r\u00e9gion \u00e0 l’\u00e9poque sovi\u00e9tique et investit donc des ressources importantes pour porter les forces pro-russes au pouvoir en Moldavie. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, l’Ukraine n\u2019est pas totalement indiff\u00e9rente \u00e0 une telle \u00e9volution, car, en cas de guerre avec la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie, elle serait confront\u00e9e \u00e0 une nouvelle menace d’invasion venant du Sud, o\u00f9 se pose alors le probl\u00e8me de la Transnistrie moldave qu’elle a effectivement occup\u00e9e.<\/div>\n
Il y a quelques jours, deux personnalit\u00e9s politiques moldaves se sont rendues en Ukraine : l’ancien ministre de la D\u00e9fense moldave, Vitaly Marinuta, et le chef du parti des maires moldaves, la Ligue des villes et des communes, Alexandre Bujorian. Ils ont rencontr\u00e9 \u00e0 plusieurs reprises des parlementaires et des responsables ukrainiens et, \u00e0 l’issue de leur visite, ont tenu une conf\u00e9rence de presse \u00e0 l’intention du public et des m\u00e9dias ukrainiens, au cours de laquelle ils ont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 des informations sur la situation actuelle en Moldavie et les perspectives d’\u00e9volution politique dans leur pays.<\/div>\n
Alexandre Bouzhorian et Vitaly Marinutsa ont accord\u00e9 une attention particuli\u00e8re aux nouveaux d\u00e9fis et menaces qui pourraient r\u00e9sulter d’un changement radical de cap politique en Moldavie et de l’arriv\u00e9e au pouvoir de forces prorusses. Les inqui\u00e9tudes de ces politiciens moldaves patriotes d’orientation europ\u00e9enne sont compr\u00e9hensibles. L’exemple de l’Abkhazie, de l’Oss\u00e9tie du Sud et de la Tch\u00e9tch\u00e9nie occup\u00e9e montre comment la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie exploite pleinement les ressources des \u00c9tats et territoires qui d\u00e9pendent d’elle, y compris les ressources humaines, pour promouvoir ses ambitions imp\u00e9riales dans l’espace post-sovi\u00e9tique. La guerre en Ukraine illustre clairement comment les Russes se soucient des leurs citoyens, mais abandonnent au premier plan les Bouriates, les Iakoutes, les Tch\u00e9tch\u00e8nes, les Ingouches et autres repr\u00e9sentants des petits peuples de Russie.<\/div>\n
Si des forces pro-russes arrivent au pouvoir en Moldavie, il existe un risque r\u00e9el d’escalade du conflit en Transnistrie et d’implication des Moldaves dans un nouvel affrontement arm\u00e9. Dans de telles circonstances, toutes les parties prenantes doivent unir leurs forces et prendre des mesures pour stopper l’expansion russe et emp\u00eacher l’\u00e9mergence d’un nouveau foyer de guerre en Europe centrale et orientale.<\/div>\n
Un forum s’est r\u00e9cemment tenu \u00e0 Tchernivtsi, d\u00e9j\u00e0 provisoirement baptis\u00e9 \u00ab Triangle d’Odessa \u00bb, o\u00f9 les questions de coop\u00e9ration trilat\u00e9rale, notamment en mati\u00e8re de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, ont \u00e9t\u00e9 abord\u00e9es au niveau des ministres des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res d’Ukraine, de Roumanie et de Moldavie. Il est \u00e9vident que les forces combin\u00e9es de l’Ukraine, de la Roumanie et de la Moldavie ne suffiront pas \u00e0 organiser efficacement une riposte \u00e0 l’agression russe et \u00e0 garantir la paix et la stabilit\u00e9 \u00e0 long terme dans la r\u00e9gion. Il est donc n\u00e9cessaire d’envisager d’\u00e9largir le cercle des \u00c9tats int\u00e9ress\u00e9s.<\/div>\n
\"\"<\/a>Les ann\u00e9es pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes, des tentatives ont \u00e9t\u00e9 faites pour cr\u00e9er des blocs de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 anti-imp\u00e9rialistes similaires au niveau r\u00e9gional. On sait qu’\u00e0 une \u00e9poque, la Pologne avait activement promu l’id\u00e9e d’\u00ab Intermarium \u00bb. Aujourd’hui, les appels \u00e0 la cr\u00e9ation de l’\u00ab Intermarium \u00bb \u2013 une nouvelle association de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des \u00c9tats de la r\u00e9gion des Mers Baltique, Noire, Caspienne et Adriatique \u2013 se multiplient.<\/div>\n
Face au refus des \u00c9tats-Unis de jouer un r\u00f4le moteur dans la politique mondiale et \u00e0 l’impuissance de l’ONU face \u00e0 l’intensification de la politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re agressive de la F\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie, cette id\u00e9e para\u00eet s\u00e9duisante et prometteuse. Cependant, sa mise en \u0153uvre concr\u00e8te d\u00e9pendra de la position des principaux pays de la r\u00e9gion, notamment l’Ukraine, la Turquie, la Roumanie et la Pologne. Bien entendu, l’\u00e9mergence d’une nouvelle alliance de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00e0 l’\u00e9chelle r\u00e9gionale aura \u00e9galement des r\u00e9percussions sur les processus g\u00e9opolitiques mondiaux. Il est donc \u00e9vident que la solution \u00e0 ce probl\u00e8me d\u00e9pendra largement de la position des acteurs politiques internationaux, notamment les \u00c9tats-Unis, le Royaume-Uni, la Chine et l’UE.<\/div>\n
Dans le m\u00eame temps, on peut d\u00e9j\u00e0 affirmer qu’apr\u00e8s l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie, le syst\u00e8me moderne de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et de droit internationaux a \u00e9t\u00e9 compl\u00e8tement d\u00e9truit. L’humanit\u00e9 doit donc conjuguer ses efforts pour trouver de nouvelles formes et m\u00e9thodes permettant de garantir la paix, l’ordre international et la stabilit\u00e9, tant au niveau r\u00e9gional que mondial.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Oleg Berezyuk,
\n<\/strong>Institut de Politique Globale.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oleg Berezyuk<\/p>\n

Il s’agit d’un \u00e9v\u00e9nement crucial pour les Moldaves, car ses r\u00e9sultats auront un impact significatif sur leur vie et sur l’avenir politique du pays<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":31333,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[261,263,319],"tags":[273],"class_list":["post-31332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analitika","category-podi-faktit-komentari","category-fejsbuk","tag-berezyuk","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"fr","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nLes \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives sont pr\u00e9vues le 28 septembre en Moldavie - 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