{"id":32704,"date":"2026-01-06T15:55:18","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T12:55:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=32704"},"modified":"2026-05-02T12:09:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T09:09:46","slug":"persha-svitova-vijna-yaka-rozpochalas-u-1914-roci-zavershilas-kraxom-starorezhimnix-yevropejskix-imperij","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/fr\/publikacii\/persha-svitova-vijna-yaka-rozpochalas-u-1914-roci-zavershilas-kraxom-starorezhimnix-yevropejskix-imperij\/","title":{"rendered":"La Premi\u00e8re Guerre mondiale qui d\u00e9buta en 1914, s’acheva par l’effondrement des empires europ\u00e9ens de l’Ancien R\u00e9gime"},"content":{"rendered":"
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La Premi\u00e8re Guerre mondiale qui d\u00e9buta en 1914, s’acheva par l’effondrement des empires europ\u00e9ens de l’Ancien R\u00e9gime<\/h1>\n
Les cons\u00e9quences de la Seconde Guerre mondiale furent encore plus dramatiques. L’armistice de Yalta bouleversa profond\u00e9ment le paysage politique mondial et entra\u00eena l’intensification des mouvements de lib\u00e9ration nationale, amor\u00e7ant la lutte pour l’\u00e9mancipation du joug colonial.<\/div>\n
Il convient de noter que l’armistice de Yalta fut de courte dur\u00e9e. La Troisi\u00e8me Guerre mondiale, dite \u00ab Guerre froide \u00bb, \u00e9clata rapidement. Elle \u00e9vita un conflit arm\u00e9 direct gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la possession d’un important arsenal nucl\u00e9aire par les deux camps. L’Europe perdit alors son influence sur la sc\u00e8ne internationale et devint, de facto, un protectorat am\u00e9ricain.<\/div>\n
La confrontation entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l’URSS durant la Guerre froide aboutit \u00e0 l’effondrement total de l’Empire sovi\u00e9tique. C’est ainsi que prit fin la Troisi\u00e8me Guerre mondiale.<\/div>\n
S’ensuivit la br\u00e8ve p\u00e9riode de la Pax Americana, durant laquelle les \u00c9tats-Unis jou\u00e8rent le r\u00f4le de leader mondial et d’arbitre international. Ce fut une p\u00e9riode de paix fragile et de stabilit\u00e9 relative.<\/div>\n
La Quatri\u00e8me Guerre mondiale, qualifi\u00e9e d’\u00ab hybride \u00bb, a d\u00e9but\u00e9 en 2014, suite \u00e0 l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie. La possession par la Russie d’un important arsenal d’armes nucl\u00e9aires fut la principale raison de l’inaction de l’ONU face \u00e0 cet acte manifeste d’agression arm\u00e9e et \u00e0 la violation de toutes les normes imaginables du droit international, permettant ainsi \u00e0 Poutine de lancer une invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l’Ukraine en 2022.<\/div>\n
D\u00e8s lors, on peut conclure que la Quatri\u00e8me Guerre mondiale a an\u00e9anti le syst\u00e8me actuel de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et de droit internationaux, et que l’humanit\u00e9 est entr\u00e9e dans une \u00e8re d’anarchie et de chaos total.<\/div>\n
Dans ce contexte d’incertitude et de chaos mondiaux, Poutine a d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de mettre en \u0153uvre son plan de longue date visant \u00e0 conqu\u00e9rir l’Ukraine et \u00e0 restaurer le statut imp\u00e9rial de la Russie.<\/div>\n
En retour, Donald Trump, apr\u00e8s son \u00e9lection \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidence des \u00c9tats-Unis, a opt\u00e9 pour une politique isolationniste, privant d\u00e9finitivement les \u00c9tats-Unis de leur r\u00f4le de leader mondial et d’arbitre international. Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements de la fin de l’ann\u00e9e 2026 en t\u00e9moignent clairement.<\/div>\n
Malgr\u00e9 la brillante op\u00e9ration des forces sp\u00e9ciales am\u00e9ricaines au Venezuela, le probl\u00e8me politique demeure irr\u00e9solu. Nicol\u00e1s Maduro a \u00e9t\u00e9 destitu\u00e9, mais les institutions \u00e9tatiques du pays continuent de fonctionner comme \u00e0 l’accoutum\u00e9e. Les \u00c9tats-Unis vont-ils recourir \u00e0 une invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle ? Peu probable. Il est fort probable qu’ils tirent les le\u00e7ons des am\u00e8res exp\u00e9riences du Vietnam, d’Irak et d’Afghanistan, o\u00f9 l’Am\u00e9rique n’a pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 atteindre ses objectifs politiques par la force et a finalement \u00e9t\u00e9 contrainte de retirer ses troupes.<\/div>\n
L’invasion de l’Ukraine par Poutine, qui m\u00e8ne depuis quatre ans une guerre difficile et sanglante, \u00e9puisant les ressources humaines, financi\u00e8res et logistiques de la Russie, devrait \u00e9galement servir de le\u00e7on \u00e0 Trump.<\/div>\n
Les d\u00e9clarations de Trump, exprimant son d\u00e9sir de s’emparer du Groenland, attisent les braises de l’instabilit\u00e9 politique mondiale. Cela menace l’existence m\u00eame du bloc nord-atlantique, dont l’Am\u00e9rique est le chef de file, et fragilise l’ensemble du syst\u00e8me de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 europ\u00e9en actuel. Dans ce contexte, les dirigeants de l’UE commencent \u00e0 comprendre que l’Europe n’est plus un protectorat am\u00e9ricain et qu’elle doit assumer sa propre s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/div>\n
En conclusion, la fragile structure de l’armistice de Yalta est totalement an\u00e9antie. Pour mettre fin \u00e0 une quatri\u00e8me guerre mondiale, l’humanit\u00e9 doit rechercher des approches et des solutions novatrices et b\u00e2tir un futur syst\u00e8me de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et de droit international fond\u00e9 sur les exigences objectives de notre \u00e9poque et sur de nouveaux principes et normes juridiques.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
Oleg Berezyuk,<\/strong>
\nInstitut de Politique Globale<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oleg Berezyuk<\/p>\n

La Quatri\u00e8me Guerre mondiale, qualifi\u00e9e d’\u00ab hybride \u00bb, a d\u00e9but\u00e9 en 2014, suite \u00e0 l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":32705,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[263,260,319],"tags":[273],"class_list":["post-32704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podi-faktit-komentari","category-publikacii","category-fejsbuk","tag-berezyuk","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"fr","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nLa Premi\u00e8re Guerre mondiale qui d\u00e9buta en 1914, s'acheva par 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