{"id":32850,"date":"2026-01-24T00:01:58","date_gmt":"2026-01-23T21:01:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/?p=32850"},"modified":"2026-05-02T12:09:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T09:09:21","slug":"chergovi-parlamentski-vibori-v-ugorshhini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igp.org.ua\/fr\/publikacii\/chergovi-parlamentski-vibori-v-ugorshhini\/","title":{"rendered":"La Hongrie tiendra ses \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Le 12 avril prochain, la Hongrie tiendra ses \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives<\/h1>\n
Deux forces politiques majeures devraient s’affronter : celle de Viktor Orb\u00e1n, pro-russe, et celle de Petr Magyar, pro-occidental.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Il est peu probable qu’Orb\u00e1n se maintienne au pouvoir, compte tenu de sa position ouvertement anti-europ\u00e9enne et de son soutien \u00e0 la politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re agressive du pr\u00e9sident russe Vladimir Poutine. Peu de Hongrois partagent aujourd’hui les positions de leur Premier ministre, car ils se souviennent encore du r\u00f4le jou\u00e9 par l’Union sovi\u00e9tique lors des \u00e9v\u00e9nements de 1956, lorsque les troupes sovi\u00e9tiques, aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s du r\u00e9gime communiste hongrois, ont r\u00e9prim\u00e9 violemment le soul\u00e8vement du peuple hongrois.<\/div>\n
Depuis, la situation n’a pratiquement pas \u00e9volu\u00e9 et la Russie poursuit une politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re agressive envers tous ses voisins, comme en t\u00e9moigne l’invasion arm\u00e9e de l’Ukraine en f\u00e9vrier 2022. Il est d\u00e9sormais \u00e9vident que la politique expansionniste de la Russie vise non seulement l’Ukraine, mais aussi tous les pays europ\u00e9ens et, en priorit\u00e9, les anciens satellites de l’Union sovi\u00e9tique dont la Hongrie. Il est clair que si l’Ukraine est vaincue dans la guerre russo-ukrainienne actuelle, les prochaines victimes de l’agression russe seront les pays d’Europe de l’Est, dont la Hongrie. Par cons\u00e9quent, il est peu probable que la plupart des Hongrois retournent volontairement dans la sph\u00e8re d’influence russe, o\u00f9 ils seraient \u00e0 nouveau contraints de vivre dans des conditions proches de celles des camps de concentration.<\/div>\n
C’est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment cette conscience aigu\u00eb de cette perspective qui r\u00e9duit consid\u00e9rablement les chances de Viktor Orb\u00e1n aux \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives actuelles et qui joue en sa faveur face \u00e0 son adversaire. Tr\u00e8s probablement, si des \u00e9lections libres et \u00e9quitables sont organis\u00e9es, le parti de P\u00e9ter Magyar remportera les \u00e9lections cette fois-ci et acc\u00e9dera au pouvoir.<\/div>\n
Bien entendu, Viktor Orb\u00e1n fera tout son possible pour se maintenir au pouvoir, et son principal atout sera l’important soutien militaro-politique et mat\u00e9riel, technique et financier de la Russie de Poutine.<\/div>\n
Par ailleurs, les r\u00e9sultats des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives seront fortement influenc\u00e9s par la situation en Ukraine et les positions des dirigeants des principaux pays de l’UE. Bien entendu, ni l’Ukraine ni la grande majorit\u00e9 des pays europ\u00e9ens ne souhaitent que Viktor Orb\u00e1n se maintienne au pouvoir en Hongrie, compte tenu de son soutien affich\u00e9 \u00e0 la Russie. Cela renforce la position de P\u00e9ter Magyar et accro\u00eet ses chances de remporter les \u00e9lections et de devenir le prochain Premier ministre hongrois.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Oleg Berezyuk,
\nInstitut de Politique Globale<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oleg Berezyuk<\/p>\n

Deux forces politiques majeures devraient s’affronter : celle de Viktor Orb\u00e1n, pro-russe, et celle de Petr Magyar, pro-occidental.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":32851,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[263,260],"tags":[273],"class_list":["post-32850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podi-faktit-komentari","category-publikacii","tag-berezyuk","wp-image-borders"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"fr","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru","fr","ar"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"fr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"ar":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"gutentor_comment":0,"yoast_head":"\nLa Hongrie tiendra ses \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives - 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